5 X 14: The Variable

I was thinking about the choice of being able to take a pivotal moment in your life and change the event.  I’m sure all of us have at least one moment in our life where you wonder, “what if…”  But would you really change it if you could?  Should the Losties mess with their fate?  What if they were meant to die in that crash?  What if Jack manages to change the future and instead of crashing on the island, the plane crashes in the ocean and they die?  What does Jack have to go back to anyway that he’d want to change the crash?  Wouldn’t he be better changing his actions with Sarah, his dad or the drugs?

1.  I don’t think the Mrs Hawking does know what happens next (she tells Penny in the hospital).  Let’s assume that she picks up the journal when she shoots Dan back in 1977.  She has the events up until the time that Dan goes back and then shoots him.  Now she doesn’t know what is going to happen because the journal ends.

2.  Why would Dan think that Jack and the others don’t belong there in 1977?  What does he know or what did he learn back in Ann Arbor that we haven’t learned yet?

3.  I think that when we see Eloise go to Dan playing the piano as a young boy, this isn’t a flashback, if you consider 1977 as the “present.”  I think that we are seeing her after she shoots him on the island and gets the journal.  That is how you would explain that she knows Dan has a destiny to be fulfilled.
ellieanddan.jpg  Click to enlarge
4.  Everyone is in a jumpsuit except Juliet and she’s in a red “death shirt.”  I think that the writers are going to use the overworked plot device that someone is going to have to stay behind and die so that the others may live and return to modern times.  Juliet will be the one.  Think about it.  She loves Sawyer but knows the moment he calls Kate “Freckles” that their life there together is over.  She also still loves Jack.  She can save them both by sacrificing herself to get them back where they belong.  This is my prediction.

5. When Dan has Miles take him to the Orchid station and Pierre/Marvin pulls up, he looks at his watch and says, “right on time.”  OK, I can believe that Dan understands the physics of the island but how can he know the movements of Chang?

6.  And Dan spills the beans to Pierre about Miles knowing it will lead him to send the children off of the island.  How could he know this stuff?  I’m wondering if we are going to see that Dan is the one who made all the calculations under the church where older Mrs Hawkins talks to the Losites.  That is how he figured when the incident would be on the island and that is why he has to get back.

7. OK, the scene where Dan is crying over the news footage of the plane crash totally changes in the middle.  At the beginning Dan’s hair is wet and slicked back.  Then 30 seconds later it’s dry and longer.  Bad editing or does something in time change like it did with the pictures at the lady’s house that Miles “talked” to her dead son?
dan1.jpg   dan2.jpg   Click to update
8.  There is never much product placement but turns out JJ Abrams is a guest editor for the magazine this month.  The magazine we see is “The Super Power” Issue from August 2003. Issue 11.08.  See a large picture of the cover here.

9.  When Dan approaches Charlotte I wonder if he tells her the same thing about not coming back to the island or if he tries something different this time.  If I were Dan I’d probably try a somewhat different strategy.

10. Dang, Jack sure is a good shot!  Is there anything he can’t do?

11.  If Dan’s plan is to detonate the hydrogen bomb, was he going to let them all die?  I didn’t hear anything in his plan about getting them out of there before he bombs them.  But, we also don’t really know why he wanted to see his mom on the island so badly.  Maybe she will be the catalyst to getting them back to current time.  Maybe in 1977 she sees the journal and knows she has to help the Losties get back to real time.

12.  And I think that Desmond is going to end up being the Variable.  Why would he let them change anything?  I can see him doing anything to preserve his path that leads him back to Penny.

7 Responses to “5 X 14: The Variable”

  1. GaryG Says:

    Well, this didn’t post the first time, so I’ll write it again. Hopefully, it doesn’t end up on here twice…lol. Anyhow, I’ve been thinking about Dan and his “plan” to detonate the hydrogen bomb. What if his plan has absolutely nothing to do with getting everyone back to the future? What if his plan is completely geared towards doing something that’ll save Charlotte? Dan’s comments to everyone and his actions throughout this show were all a bit off.

  2. GaryG Says:

    Actually, thinking about what I just wrote, what if Dan’s plan is to get Charlotte off the island, then add the energy of the hydrogen bomb to the energy in the Swan station and actually destroy the entire island. Remember the movie Star Gate where they plan to send the bomb back with some of their super minerals making it a hundred times more powerful to destroy the Earth? Something like that. That way Charlotte will never be able to return to the island since it’ll no longer exist.

  3. dane Says:

    i think we’re forgetting that we’re saving a lot of lives by cancelling out the past. Who really gives an F who ends up with who, some people lost loved ones in the crash of Oceanic 815.

  4. ssgt.z Says:

    Lots to think about on these last few episodes. I think Ellie knew she would shoot Dan, but felt that there was a set order to how things must go. Dan seemed bent on denying that things could not be changed, only to die and disprove himself…… i can’t help but think this show is going to focus on pitting the two groups of remaining losties against each other based upon whether to prevent the crash, and change the future, or let the course play out and what ever happens, happens. it seems like this show always divideds the cast based upon faith/science kinds of issues. just my $.02.

    On a side note Charlie is in the new Wolverine, X-men movie. if i remember correctly Miles was in the last one….maybe that explains all of this?

  5. Foffman Says:

    Hey ssgt.z, Charlie’s not the only one from LOST in the new Wolverine movie.

    http://guides.clickthecity.com/movies/lootbox/X-Men-Origins-Wolverine/images/gallery_blob.jpg

    Recognize the blob? We like to call him Keamy…

  6. ssgt.z Says:

    Thats right! i couldn’t place him. i think Sawyer could have pulled of Gambit!

  7. captain trips Says:

    What does Juliet know about time travel?

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