The Long Con
1. Let’s just get this out of the way. Bernard is a dentist. How convenient. Next Ted McGinley will show up as the crazy jungle neighbor who happens to be Claire’s uncle who is in love with Kate. OK, OK, maybe I’m still smarting from the Charlie fiasco but still, come on!
2. Bad Twin. Hurley is reading this manuscript by the fire. Seems like we have some “red herrings” in this episode and I don’t think that this is an exception. No, they can’t exactly have product placement on the island, but knowing the fans of this show, where else would you go but Amazon.com to look this up?

3. OK astute readers, remember our friend Josh Holloway telling us at the end of Season One, before the beginning of Season Two, to pay attention to the “twins” on the sea-billy’s boat? Here is where I’m going with this… what if Ethan has a twin? I’m shooting a long shot here so don’t ring the buzzer yet. I watched “All The Best Cowboys…” from Season One again and Ethan reappears to beat the crap out of Jack. He appears to be much stronger than the Ethan we see back at the camp. The “second Ethan” appears to be way more muscular than the ‘original’ Ethan. Plus, remember the screen shot where Charlie is burying Ethan? It appeared that he was breathing. No, this doesn’t seem logical so it could be that we were being set up to believe that the reappearance of “Ethan” is a resurrection, when in fact it is just his twin. So why bring this up now? I don’t know outside of the manuscript making me remember Josh’s comments…


4. “You run. I con. Tiger don’t change their stripes.” But do they? So Sawyer pulls a “long con” on the survivors. Or did he? Was it really in the best interest of everyone to have the guns in the hands of a raving, magic potion dispensing lunatic (Locke) and a gungho, god complex surgeon (Jack)? Was Sawyer doing them a favor? Jack has been resisting the role of leader from the start anyway and Sawyer seems OK taking it over. Well, at least the role of the sheriff. Every town needs one, right? Someone to uphold the law. Doesn’t it seem more like this than Sawyer holding the guns “hostage” if you will, from the group? Didn’t Locke even refer to something about not wanting everyone to have guns because they would just shoot each other with them?
5. Seems appropriate to bring up the #5 here. Cassidy tells Sawyer that even a 5 year old could tell his necklaces were fakes. More importantly, Sawyer counts to FIVE before going back into the house. Again, astute reader, JACK is the man who told Kate that he counts to FIVE before going into a stressful situation. Kate counts to five on Jack’s advice before ascending into the hatch. Coincidence?
6. Back to Sawyer. He tells Charlie that he hasn’t done a good thing in his life. Oh really? What about the fact that Sawyer backed off of the original con that we saw when he realizes that the people have a kid? What about the fact that he shoots The Marshall out of mercy? Remember how remorseful he seems when he shoots the wrong guy in Australia? What about how he tells Jack about his dad right before he shoves off on the raft? I think that Sawyer may be setting himself up as a martyr from the group to try and infiltrate the “Others” (since it’s not secret they are being watched) and then he can get to Walt. I truly think that Sawyer is still reeling over losing Walt and takes a huge amount of responsibility for his kidnapping and wants to get him back. What better way than to join the Others? If nothing else, Sawyer is comfortable in the role of “the most hated” and wants to get back to what he knows and the control that comes with this.
7. I was wondering if Sawyer sent Cassidy to the same hotel that we see Kate changing plates, etc. in Season One. But, from my research it seems that Cassidy was headed to Sioux City, Iowa to the Sage Flower Motel and Kate was in Cedar Rapids. Anyone know more than this or find a connection? We did see Kate’s mom waiting on Sawyer and Gordon so we know that they were at least close in proximity.
8. Everyone seems to be a con on this island or have been conned. Hurley cons Sayid into fixing the radio (or at least hooking it up). Locke is conning Claire and Charlie (the entire HOW of this is yet to come). Eko has conned the group into believing that he is a priest. Locke is conned by his dad. Claire is conned into keeping the baby and flying to LA. Desmond, or so he says, is conned into the hatch. On and on.
9. Locke says he is alphabetizing the books. Hello? I think he is looking for more film.
10. The music. Sayid picks up ratios station WXR which I now know is the call letters for the Coast Guard radio station in Kodiak, Alaska from 1945. Also, the song was Glen Miller “Moonlight Serenade.” RED HERRING! RED HERRING!
Come on, like Hurley believes that they are stuck in the time loop (like I insisted they were in from Season One). Nope, won’t believe it. Like the book Locke was holding, “Occurrence at Owl Creek Bridge.” Check it out. I’m beginning to believe less and less in these obvious clues and just think that we are being mislead, my friends.
11. Combination on the safe was 7-33-18. Usually people pick numbers that mean something to them. Was Locke 7 when his sister died? 33 when dad took his kidney? 18 when Helen first appeared? Hm. Thinking we will see lots more of this in the future.
12. Why was there a girly entertainment mag in the hatch? No, dirty minds, not that kind of dirty mag. The “Elegance” magazine that Kate brought to Sawyer with the lady on the cover who had feathered hair. It definitely had a 70’s flair to it (remember Geronimo Jackson?). Red Herring or clue?

13. Did Sawyer really lose his glasses on the raft? I have read that there are screen caps (somewhere) showing him wearing his glasses in a future epi. I highly doubt at this point that Jack will make him another pair unless Scott/Steve ends up being an optometrist. Yowza!
14. Sawyer taking the guns has pretty much disbanded Jack’s army, right? I am wondering if Ana LuLu knows where the guns are. She was a cop back in “real life” (man, I’m sick if I’m referring to their character lives as real life). ANYWAY, wouldn’t she have had to have some type of detective training as a cop? She would *have* to know how to investigate so maybe she finds the guns or even followed Sawyer and knows where they are. But for all intents and purposes as it stands, the army is on hold.
15. There is talk that the lady in Desmonds photo is Cassidy.

I think that she is the chick that Jack’s dad killed on the operating table in “All The Good Cowboys …” Check it out:


16. Vincent. Damn Dog. Shows up every time there is trouble and he aint no Lassie! Where there is Vincent, there are problems. Sun gets kidnapped right after Vincent shows up AND it rains. How does he know? Is Vincent the mole? Plus, if it was Charlie that nabbed her then how did Vincent the calamity sniffing dog know?
February 16th, 2006 at 7:16 pm
Wow, that is a REALLY LONG CON errrr I mean Post. I like all the points you brought up and I am looking forward to which ones turn out to be correct!
February 17th, 2006 at 10:15 am
Vincent especially showing up… I don’t know whether it was just a trick by the writers to make us *think* it was the others and not Charlie. But, the dog *and* the rain. That is weird how he is associated with so much - and since the very first episode too.
I used to theorize about some kind of “time loop” too but when I heard the creators say (I think it was on the “making of” on the DVD set…) that everything is explainable, I thought… “Okay, maybe not.” Still… I’m *VERY* curious (skeptical?) how all of this is going to be explainable.
Ted McGinley?!?!?! NOOOO!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
September 15th, 2008 at 4:27 am
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